Business

Experts Say U.S. Mortgage Rates May Rise Above 7% Soon

Mortgage rates in the United States have climbed to 6.71%—the highest level in 13 months—as market experts warn they could soon surpass the 7% mark. This resurgence is driven by volatility in the global bond market amid inflation concerns and higher government debt, which have pushed up borrowing costs across the board.

What Happened

According to Freddie Mac data reported on September 4, 2026, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 6.71%, up from below 6% in late February. This marks a steady upward trend that some economists predict will continue, possibly pushing rates back above 7%, a level last seen in January 2025.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, told CBS News, “We’re effectively there,” highlighting that mortgage rates could “easily go over” 7%. The surge is mainly tied to a global bond sell-off triggered by inflation pressures and expanding U.S. government debt, which have raised yields on Treasury bonds. Mortgage rates closely track the 10-year Treasury yield, which jumped from 4.08% to 4.77% over the past six months.

With inflation still well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, investors anticipate another interest rate hike at the Fed’s upcoming policy meeting, potentially further elevating borrowing costs. The Labor Department’s upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for August is widely eyed as a key data point influencing these expectations.

Key Facts

The current average mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed loan is 6.71%, the highest since August 2025. The 10-year Treasury yield has increased significantly from 4.08% to 4.77% in six months. According to CME FedWatch, traders expect a Federal Reserve rate hike later this month, the first since July 2023. Lending data analyzed by Kate Wood of NerdWallet shows that approximately half of mortgage rate quotes are already above 7%. Realtor.com’s senior economist Jake Krimmel suggests rates are more likely to rise than fall in the near term.

What This Means

Rising mortgage rates translate into higher monthly payments for homebuyers, increasing the overall cost of purchasing a property. This trend tends to cool housing demand as affordability diminishes, which could suppress home prices over time. Kate Wood points out that while borrowers face higher interest expenses, reduced competition due to fewer buyers might make home prices more accessible, although this is not a financial gain from an interest standpoint.

For prospective homeowners, particularly first-time buyers, these higher rates could mean longer waits before entering the market or the need to adjust budgets downward. The housing market may remain sluggish, described by Zandi as “under a glacier,” until rates moderate or decline. Additionally, sustained high rates can ripple through the economy by influencing consumer spending on durable goods like autos and affecting credit card borrowing costs.

Background

Mortgage rates had been declining through much of 2025, dropping below 6% at times, which helped stimulate housing demand after historic rate spikes in prior years. The last period when rates were near or above 7% occurred in early 2025. The current rebound follows global financial uncertainty, especially volatility in fixed-income markets prompted by persistent inflation above the Fed’s target and growing U.S. government borrowing.

What Comes Next

The Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates later this month and the forthcoming CPI inflation report for August are key upcoming events that will influence mortgage rate direction. Market watchers will closely monitor these developments for signals of continued monetary tightening or a possible pause, both of which have immediate implications for borrowing costs.

Sources

This article is based on reporting and publicly available information from the following source:

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Hannah Keller
About the editor

Hannah Keller

Hannah Keller Role: Business Editor Hannah Keller writes about business, markets, corporate decisions, economic trends, and major companies. She focuses on explaining the financial and practical impact of business news without giving investment advice. Her articles aim to help readers understand what a company decision or economic event means for employees, consumers, and industries.

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